Forgive if I'm missing<a href="http://awivsavwbpn.com"> shetmoing</a> in your comment, but, I think that the correct decision is dependent upon what he actually holds, not what we think he holds.To take the QQ vs JJ example, if we have JJ and our opponent has QQ and we get all our money into the middle before there is a flop we have 17.343% percent equity of the pot. That's obviously not good for us. But you might know that already.Doesn't the correct play depend on the reality of the situation as opposed to our methodology in deriving it? Getting JJ all in against QQ can often be a very forgivable mistake. But it is still a mistake. I could be getting a bit mixed up and you might be making a subtler point about frequencies. Since this blog is new, I'm not really sure what everyone's level of understanding of poker is so I'm trying to avoid poker jargon as shorthand for expressing more advanced concepts. If I've missed your point entirely forgive me.

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